Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Cervenka on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Letestu 50.1% vs Cervenka 48.0% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Cervenka leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Cervenka 58.4%
Defensive zone
Letestu 59.2%
Neutral zone
Letestu 50.0%
Result
Mark Letestu favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Letestu
Cervenka
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Letestu
Cervenka
Last 10: Letestu 5-5 Cervenka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Letestu
Cervenka
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cervenka
2
3
Letestu
Cervenka
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Letestu
1
0
Letestu
Cervenka
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Letestu
Cervenka
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (378)
40.9% (93)
+9.4%
Power Play
68.0% (25)
66.7% (30)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (84)
0.0% (2)
+44.0%
On penalty kill, Letestu has a +44.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cervenka shoots left. Letestu is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (376).
Letestu shoots right. Cervenka is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (42).
Home / Away
Letestu
Cervenka
Home
51.9% (231)
47.5% (59)
Away
48.4% (256)
45.5% (66)
By Period
Letestu
Cervenka
P1
48.0%
32.7%
P2
55.7%
50.0%
P3
45.1%
62.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
50.1%
Cervenka
46.0%▬
46.4%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2013 | 2 | 01:30 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | Roman Cervenka |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 2 | 06:19 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 2 | 05:54 | Offensive | Roman Cervenka |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 1 | 19:10 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 1 | 07:20 | Defensive | Roman Cervenka |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 1 | 07:14 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 1 | 05:08 | Defensive | Roman Cervenka |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 1 | 11:16 | Offensive | Roman Cervenka |