Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Letestu on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 30 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Letestu 52.1% vs Kesler 55.9% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Letestu leads 40-29 in 69 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 70.8%
Defensive zone
Kesler 68.2%
Neutral zone
Kesler 69.7%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 69.5%
30.5%
69.5%
Letestu
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
40
-
29
(69 meetings)
40
29
Letestu
Kesler
Last 10: Letestu 8-2 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
11
15
Letestu
Kesler
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
22
8
Letestu
Kesler
30 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Letestu
7
6
Letestu
Kesler
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Letestu
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (4,565)
56.4% (8,095)
-3.1%
Power Play
56.0% (687)
60.7% (1,437)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,005)
50.5% (1,908)
-6.3%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Letestu is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,854).
Letestu shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Home / Away
Letestu
Kesler
Home
54.0% (3,024)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
50.4% (3,249)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Letestu
Kesler
P1
51.5%
56.5%
P2
55.0%
55.9%
P3
49.8%
56.1%
OT
51.8%
46.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.1%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2018 | 1 | 02:00 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Jan 4, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 1 | 06:45 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 3 | 07:47 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 2 | 03:21 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 1 | 14:50 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 22, 2017 | 3 | 19:53 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 22, 2017 | 2 | 17:11 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Jan 25, 2017 | 1 | 16:09 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 16:38 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 07:16 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 11:19 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 3 | 15:59 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 3 | 15:50 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 2 | 19:51 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 2 | 13:51 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 3 | 17:54 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 2 | 03:27 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |