Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Letestu wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Letestu 50.1% vs Gagner 44.6% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 77.4%
Defensive zone
Gagner 64.8%
Neutral zone
Gagner 71.2%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 71.1%
28.9%
71.1%
Letestu
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Letestu
Gagner
Last 8: Letestu 3-5 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
3
Letestu
Gagner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
2
1
Letestu
Gagner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Letestu
Gagner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Letestu
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (378)
42.1% (575)
+8.2%
Power Play
68.0% (25)
55.3% (123)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (84)
34.9% (43)
+9.1%
On power play, Letestu has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Letestu is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Letestu shoots right. Gagner is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Letestu
Gagner
Home
51.9% (231)
45.6% (375)
Away
48.4% (256)
42.1% (366)
By Period
Letestu
Gagner
P1
48.0%
40.1%
P2
55.7%
42.2%
P3
45.1%
48.2%
OT
50.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
49.2%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
50.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 00:39 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 5, 2013 | OT | 01:00 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 5, 2013 | OT | 00:25 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 13:50 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 07:18 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 18:17 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 2 | 08:11 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 1 | 10:40 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |