Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Letestu on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Letestu wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Letestu 52.1% vs Smith 50.6% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Letestu leads 22-15 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Letestu 63.0%
Defensive zone
Letestu 61.4%
Neutral zone
Letestu 64.8%
Result
Mark Letestu favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Letestu
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
15
(37 meetings)
22
15
Letestu
Smith
Last 10: Letestu 6-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
7
6
Letestu
Smith
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
8
7
Letestu
Smith
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Letestu
7
2
Letestu
Smith
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Letestu
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (4,565)
51.6% (5,265)
+1.7%
Power Play
56.0% (687)
51.2% (342)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,005)
45.3% (985)
-1.1%
On power play, Letestu has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Letestu is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,419).
Letestu shoots right. Smith is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,394).
Home / Away
Letestu
Smith
Home
54.0% (3,024)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
50.4% (3,249)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Letestu
Smith
P1
51.5%
49.9%
P2
55.0%
50.0%
P3
49.8%
51.9%
OT
51.8%
51.6%
Final 5 min
50.7%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.1%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 03:00 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 3 | 14:06 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 08:13 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 07:47 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 3 | 14:20 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 3 | 06:44 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 3 | 06:37 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2 | 14:09 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 1 | 09:00 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 23, 2016 | 2 | 15:03 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 23, 2016 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 23, 2016 | 2 | 05:07 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 23, 2016 | 1 | 03:08 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 14:36 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 07:13 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 00:30 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 3 | 09:49 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 3 | 09:38 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 3 | 04:13 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 16:04 | Defensive | Zack Smith |