Scouting Report
Mitch Marner holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Olver 43.0% vs Marner 43.1% (-1.5%)
Offensive zone
Marner 50.5%
Defensive zone
Marner 53.2%
Neutral zone
Olver 52.0%
Result
Mitch Marner favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Olver
Marner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Olver
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (236)
42.2% (462)
-1.9%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
55.6% (18)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (5)
35.4% (65)
-35.4%
On penalty kill, Marner has a +35.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Olver is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (75).
Olver shoots left. Marner is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Olver
Marner
Home
39.4% (132)
38.2% (293)
Away
41.3% (126)
46.0% (252)
By Period
Olver
Marner
P1
37.8%
39.1%
P2
41.3%
41.1%
P3
41.7%
47.1%
Final 5 min
42.2%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Olver
42.0%▬
41.0%
40.3%
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
41.8%