Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Olver wins 36.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Olver 43.0% vs Bonino 50.0% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Olver 88.6%
Defensive zone
Olver 66.9%
Neutral zone
Olver 73.2%
Result
Mark Olver favored at 76.0%
76.0%
24.0%
Olver
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Olver
Bonino
Last 10: Olver 3-7 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
3
Olver
Bonino
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Olver
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
3
4
Olver
Bonino
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Olver
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (236)
50.6% (8,315)
-10.3%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
54.1% (972)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (5)
44.6% (1,693)
-44.6%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +44.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Olver is 36.6% vs left-shot opponents (183).
Olver shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Olver
Bonino
Home
39.4% (132)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
41.3% (126)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Olver
Bonino
P1
37.8%
50.6%
P2
41.3%
48.5%
P3
41.7%
51.1%
Final 5 min
42.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Olver
42.0%▬
41.0%
40.3%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2013 | 3 | 01:27 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 2 | 09:32 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 1 | 02:00 | Neutral | Mark Olver |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 1 | 01:59 | Neutral | Mark Olver |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 3 | 12:02 | Neutral | Mark Olver |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 2 | 01:56 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 1 | 15:18 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 1 | 11:40 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 1 | 07:48 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 1 | 07:33 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 1 | 01:15 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |