Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Olver wins 33.8% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Olver 43.5% vs Bonino 44.2% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Olver 53.3%
Defensive zone
Bonino 52.3%
Neutral zone
Olver 60.6%
Result
Mark Olver favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Olver
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Olver
Bonino
Last 8: Olver 1-7 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
3
Olver
Bonino
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Olver
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
3
Olver
Bonino
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Olver
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
35.3% (85)
43.3% (423)
-8.0%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
45.5% (22)
+21.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
20.0% (5)
-20.0%
On power play, Olver has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Olver is 33.8% vs left-shot opponents (68).
Olver shoots left. Bonino is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (301).
Home / Away
Olver
Bonino
Home
40.0% (50)
44.1% (222)
Away
31.7% (41)
41.8% (232)
By Period
Olver
Bonino
P1
26.1%
43.9%
P2
40.6%
43.4%
P3
38.9%
41.6%
Final 5 min
43.8%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Olver
42.0%▬
41.0%
36.3%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2012 | 3 | 12:02 | Neutral | Mark Olver |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 2 | 01:56 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 1 | 15:18 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 1 | 11:40 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 1 | 07:48 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 1 | 07:33 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 1 | 01:15 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |