Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Olver wins 36.6% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Olver 43.0% vs Horcoff 49.6% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Olver 70.2%
Defensive zone
Olver 56.9%
Neutral zone
Olver 63.0%
Result
Mark Olver favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Olver
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Olver
Horcoff
Last 6: Olver 2-4 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
1
Olver
Horcoff
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Olver
Horcoff
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
2
Olver
Horcoff
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Olver
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (236)
50.6% (3,133)
-10.3%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
51.4% (555)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (5)
43.0% (567)
-43.0%
On penalty kill, Horcoff has a +43.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Olver is 36.6% vs left-shot opponents (183).
Olver shoots left. Horcoff is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,000).
Home / Away
Olver
Horcoff
Home
39.4% (132)
51.1% (2,199)
Away
41.3% (126)
48.0% (2,104)
By Period
Olver
Horcoff
P1
37.8%
48.2%
P2
41.3%
49.5%
P3
41.7%
50.9%
Final 5 min
42.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Olver
42.0%▬
41.0%
40.3%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2013 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 13:17 | Defensive | Mark Olver |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 12:58 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 14:47 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 05:10 | Neutral | Mark Olver |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 19:23 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |