Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Sutter wins 62.2% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 54.6% vs Scheifele 49.8% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sutter 61.4%
Defensive zone
Sutter 95.6%
Neutral zone
Sutter 86.0%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 90.7%
90.7%
9.3%
Sutter
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Sutter
Scheifele
Last 9: Sutter 8-1 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Scheifele
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
6
1
Sutter
Scheifele
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (390)
48.5% (631)
+6.9%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
67.2% (61)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
54.7% (95)
33.3% (15)
+21.4%
On penalty kill, Sutter has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Sutter is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Sutter shoots right. Scheifele is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Sutter
Scheifele
Home
57.3% (260)
52.0% (358)
Away
53.6% (237)
47.6% (349)
By Period
Sutter
Scheifele
P1
54.4%
46.3%
P2
57.3%
50.9%
P3
54.8%
51.5%
Final 5 min
51.1%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
55.5%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2021 | 1 | 12:05 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 1 | 19:10 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 1 | 14:50 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 2 | 06:02 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 1 | 05:53 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 16:26 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |