Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Schenn wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.3% vs Scheifele 47.0% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 80.3%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 56.6%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 64.7%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 76.4%
23.6%
76.4%
Schenn
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Schenn
Scheifele
Last 6: Schenn 2-4 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
4
Schenn
Scheifele
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (608)
46.3% (864)
+5.0%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
47.9% (169)
+15.7%
Penalty Kill
72.7% (22)
50.0% (54)
+22.7%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Schenn is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (277).
Schenn shoots left. Scheifele is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (853).
Home / Away
Schenn
Scheifele
Home
54.1% (362)
46.2% (571)
Away
53.3% (375)
47.3% (516)
By Period
Schenn
Scheifele
P1
48.4%
51.8%
P2
52.2%
45.5%
P3
59.2%
43.6%
OT
50.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
50.0%▼
53.5%
53.7%
Scheifele
52.0%▲
50.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 14:56 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 10:27 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 10:11 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |