Connor McMichael vs Mark Scheifele
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McMichael on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McMichael wins 39.3% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.8% vs Scheifele 47.2% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 91.9%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 61.2%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 72.4%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 71.9%
28.1%
71.9%
McMichael
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
McMichael
Scheifele
Last 6: McMichael 5-1 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
McMichael
Scheifele
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
0
McMichael
Scheifele
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
3
0
McMichael
Scheifele
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (399)
46.5% (878)
-4.1%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
48.3% (174)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (96)
50.0% (54)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. McMichael is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (183).
McMichael shoots left. Scheifele is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
McMichael
Scheifele
Home
43.0% (298)
46.2% (571)
Away
42.5% (252)
47.7% (535)
By Period
McMichael
Scheifele
P1
46.5%
51.9%
P2
41.1%
45.6%
P3
41.3%
43.9%
Final 5 min
44.0%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.7%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:24 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 19:46 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 19:50 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 12:10 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 11:53 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |