Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.4% vs 46.8%). Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Scheifele 46.8% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 17-8 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 54.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 62.7%
Neutral zone
Roy 58.9%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Roy
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
8
(25 meetings)
17
8
Roy
Scheifele
Last 10: Roy 5-5 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
9
4
Roy
Scheifele
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
4
3
Roy
Scheifele
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
4
1
Roy
Scheifele
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
46.3% (12,036)
+0.1%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
50.2% (2,563)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
41.6% (598)
+5.2%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Roy is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Roy shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (10,821).
Home / Away
Roy
Scheifele
Home
49.5% (1,982)
48.9% (7,644)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
44.7% (7,554)
By Period
Roy
Scheifele
P1
47.6%
48.2%
P2
46.2%
45.6%
P3
48.5%
46.8%
OT
43.1%
42.5%
Final 5 min
47.0%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2015 | 2 | 15:20 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 2 | 06:40 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 16, 2015 | OT | 03:27 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 3 | 02:58 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 2 | 00:59 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 1 | 17:17 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 1 | 15:19 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 03:38 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 19:08 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 17:16 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 08:03 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 01:30 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 01:27 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 01:00 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 09:55 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 17:35 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 06:17 | Offensive | Derek Roy |