Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Roslovic on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Roslovic wins 38.5% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 46.0% vs Scheifele 48.3% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 72.1%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 60.1%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 52.5%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Roslovic
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Roslovic
Scheifele
Last 7: Roslovic 5-2 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
2
0
Roslovic
Scheifele
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roslovic
Scheifele
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roslovic
2
1
Roslovic
Scheifele
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (106)
48.1% (1,045)
-3.8%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
48.6% (181)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
44.4% (27)
-30.1%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +30.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Roslovic is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (39).
Roslovic shoots right. Scheifele is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Scheifele
Home
36.9% (65)
52.7% (630)
Away
49.2% (61)
43.5% (623)
By Period
Roslovic
Scheifele
P1
32.1%
50.3%
P2
50.0%
46.8%
P3
46.2%
47.5%
OT
0.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
53.6%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
42.9%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:32 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 19:34 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 05:41 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 14:03 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |