Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Larsson wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 46.9% vs Scheifele 50.6% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 56.0%
Defensive zone
Larsson 85.7%
Neutral zone
Larsson 68.0%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Larsson
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Larsson
Scheifele
Last 5: Larsson 1-4 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Larsson
Scheifele
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Larsson
Scheifele
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
2
Larsson
Scheifele
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (345)
49.3% (649)
-2.6%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
55.7% (183)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (59)
50.0% (16)
-11.0%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Larsson is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (156).
Larsson shoots left. Scheifele is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (630).
Home / Away
Larsson
Scheifele
Home
52.1% (167)
52.3% (440)
Away
42.4% (255)
49.0% (408)
By Period
Larsson
Scheifele
P1
50.0%
52.3%
P2
46.7%
50.4%
P3
42.6%
51.4%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 15:40 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 11:41 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 00:11 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |