Justin Hryckowian vs Mark Scheifele
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Justin Hryckowian holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hryckowian 54.6% vs Scheifele 47.0% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 76.5%
Defensive zone
Hryckowian 66.8%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 55.1%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Hryckowian
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Hryckowian
Scheifele
Last 8: Hryckowian 4-4 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
4
Hryckowian
Scheifele
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hryckowian
2
0
Hryckowian
Scheifele
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hryckowian
1
0
Hryckowian
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hryckowian
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
59.3% (214)
46.3% (864)
+13.0%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
47.9% (169)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
50.0% (54)
-19.2%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Hryckowian is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Hryckowian shoots left. Scheifele is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (853).
Home / Away
Hryckowian
Scheifele
Home
58.1% (129)
46.2% (571)
Away
54.6% (119)
47.3% (516)
By Period
Hryckowian
Scheifele
P1
49.3%
51.8%
P2
65.4%
45.5%
P3
52.2%
43.6%
OT
0.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
55.0%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hryckowian
52.0%▼
56.0%
56.5%
Scheifele
52.0%▲
50.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 17:34 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 00:52 | Neutral | Justin Hryckowian |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 17:17 | Defensive | Justin Hryckowian |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 03:07 | Offensive | Justin Hryckowian |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 05:22 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 16:09 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 08:25 | Defensive | Justin Hryckowian |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:43 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |