Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 46.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.8% vs Erat 46.8% (+0.7%)
Offensive zone
Erat 56.1%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 57.8%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 53.7%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Scheifele
Erat
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Erat
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (12,036)
46.7% (321)
-0.4%
Power Play
50.2% (2,563)
45.5% (101)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (598)
41.4% (29)
+0.2%
On power play, Scheifele has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Erat shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (10,821).
Scheifele shoots right. Erat is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Erat
Home
48.9% (7,644)
53.2% (252)
Away
44.7% (7,554)
37.2% (199)
By Period
Scheifele
Erat
P1
48.2%
43.4%
P2
45.6%
45.8%
P3
46.8%
50.0%
OT
42.5%
16.7%
Final 5 min
45.6%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Erat
38.0%▼
43.5%
46.1%