Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Scheifele wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 44.6% vs Stajan 47.6% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 83.7%
Defensive zone
Stajan 61.9%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 53.7%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Scheifele
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Scheifele
Stajan
Last 7: Scheifele 2-5 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
2
Scheifele
Stajan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
3
Scheifele
Stajan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
Stajan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (943)
47.8% (678)
-3.3%
Power Play
42.2% (180)
33.3% (9)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (43)
45.5% (101)
-1.3%
On power play, Scheifele has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Scheifele is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (794).
Scheifele shoots right. Stajan is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (315).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Stajan
Home
47.4% (549)
49.0% (392)
Away
41.3% (617)
45.7% (396)
By Period
Scheifele
Stajan
P1
43.7%
47.9%
P2
44.5%
49.8%
P3
43.8%
43.4%
OT
56.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
44.2%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2016 | 3 | 02:51 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 2 | 05:26 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 16:02 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 13:05 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 03:20 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 17:30 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 13:39 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |