Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Scheifele wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Richards shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 43.4% vs Richards 48.9% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 71.2%
Defensive zone
Richards 72.0%
Neutral zone
Richards 78.6%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 73.8%
26.2%
73.8%
Scheifele
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Scheifele
Richards
Last 6: Scheifele 4-2 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
1
Scheifele
Richards
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
Richards
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Richards
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (938)
49.5% (529)
-7.2%
Power Play
50.0% (168)
44.4% (36)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
26.8% (41)
39.3% (28)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Scheifele is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Scheifele shoots right. Richards is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Richards
Home
43.1% (569)
47.9% (292)
Away
42.7% (579)
49.5% (301)
By Period
Scheifele
Richards
P1
45.3%
46.0%
P2
38.6%
52.0%
P3
44.1%
48.1%
OT
56.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.6%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
42.9%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2015 | 2 | 18:43 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 2 | 04:03 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 2 | 01:57 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 12, 2014 | 3 | 09:45 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 12, 2014 | 3 | 05:08 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 12, 2014 | 2 | 17:47 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |