Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Krebs 45.5% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 66.5%
Defensive zone
Krebs 77.6%
Neutral zone
Krebs 54.6%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Scheifele
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Scheifele
Krebs
Last 5: Scheifele 2-3 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
2
Scheifele
Krebs
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
1
Scheifele
Krebs
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (878)
44.6% (388)
+1.9%
Power Play
48.3% (174)
25.0% (4)
+23.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
45.0% (20)
+5.0%
On power play, Scheifele has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Scheifele is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Scheifele shoots right. Krebs is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Krebs
Home
46.2% (571)
46.8% (188)
Away
47.7% (535)
42.4% (224)
By Period
Scheifele
Krebs
P1
51.9%
47.2%
P2
45.6%
44.9%
P3
43.9%
41.1%
OT
27.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 02:34 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 02:22 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 19:15 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 05:31 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |