Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 36 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.8% vs Kesler 55.9% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 45-30 in 75 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 85.1%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 73.2%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 89.7%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 80.5%
80.5%
19.5%
Scheifele
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
45
(75 meetings)
30
45
Scheifele
Kesler
Last 10: Scheifele 4-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
11
10
Scheifele
Kesler
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
13
23
Scheifele
Kesler
36 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
6
12
Scheifele
Kesler
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (12,036)
56.4% (8,095)
-10.1%
Power Play
50.2% (2,563)
60.7% (1,437)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (598)
50.5% (1,908)
-8.9%
On power play, Kesler has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,377).
Scheifele shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Kesler
Home
48.9% (7,644)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
44.7% (7,554)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Scheifele
Kesler
P1
48.2%
56.5%
P2
45.6%
55.9%
P3
46.8%
56.1%
OT
42.5%
46.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2019 | 3 | 00:45 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 2 | 15:03 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 2 | 03:45 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 1 | 19:52 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 1 | 05:46 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 23, 2018 | OT | 02:00 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 3 | 19:17 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 30, 2017 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 3 | 18:57 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 3 | 11:07 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 3 | 10:50 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 18:49 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 10:32 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |