Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Scheifele wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.5% vs Kesler 55.2% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 85.5%
Defensive zone
Kesler 56.0%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 71.1%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Scheifele
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Scheifele
Kesler
Last 7: Scheifele 2-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
0
Scheifele
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
5
Scheifele
Kesler
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (1,277)
55.7% (741)
-9.7%
Power Play
50.4% (339)
67.0% (100)
-16.6%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (120)
50.0% (204)
-12.5%
On power play, Kesler has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Scheifele is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Scheifele shoots right. Kesler is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Kesler
Home
49.0% (836)
52.5% (522)
Away
43.7% (900)
58.9% (523)
By Period
Scheifele
Kesler
P1
46.4%
56.7%
P2
46.0%
56.8%
P3
46.9%
54.1%
OT
35.7%
16.7%
Final 5 min
44.1%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.3%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2019 | 3 | 00:45 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 2 | 15:03 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 2 | 03:45 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 1 | 19:52 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 1 | 05:46 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |