Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 43.1% vs Koivu 50.4% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 79.7%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 52.4%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 63.8%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Scheifele
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Scheifele
Koivu
Last 7: Scheifele 2-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Koivu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Scheifele
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Scheifele
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (655)
50.4% (912)
-9.2%
Power Play
46.8% (126)
59.1% (44)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
46.8% (111)
+3.2%
On power play, Koivu has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Scheifele is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Scheifele shoots right. Koivu is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (367).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Koivu
Home
45.9% (394)
51.5% (610)
Away
38.4% (391)
49.0% (457)
By Period
Scheifele
Koivu
P1
44.7%
48.5%
P2
42.2%
51.5%
P3
39.7%
51.1%
OT
36.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
42.4%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
42.2%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 15:09 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 10:18 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 07:47 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 6, 2013 | 2 | 07:00 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 6, 2013 | 2 | 06:45 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 6, 2013 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |