Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Scheifele wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 43.9% vs Crosby 48.3% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 73.9%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 86.2%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 75.9%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 79.4%
79.4%
20.6%
Scheifele
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Scheifele
Crosby
Last 7: Scheifele 1-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Scheifele
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Scheifele
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Scheifele
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (1,136)
46.8% (1,360)
-2.9%
Power Play
43.0% (237)
53.8% (357)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (88)
45.2% (31)
-6.6%
On power play, Crosby has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Scheifele is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,035).
Scheifele shoots right. Crosby is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Crosby
Home
45.3% (739)
51.0% (867)
Away
41.6% (722)
45.4% (881)
By Period
Scheifele
Crosby
P1
45.6%
50.8%
P2
42.6%
47.9%
P3
42.8%
46.5%
OT
26.7%
35.1%
Final 5 min
39.3%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
43.5%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2017 | 3 | 15:05 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 8, 2017 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 8, 2017 | 1 | 03:13 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 16, 2017 | OT | 03:57 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 2 | 04:58 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 2 | 04:46 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 1 | 07:07 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |