Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 20 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.8% vs Bozak 53.4% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 33-18 in 51 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 76.4%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 88.2%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 82.4%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 82.1%
82.1%
17.9%
Scheifele
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
33
(51 meetings)
18
33
Scheifele
Bozak
Last 10: Scheifele 4-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
11
11
Scheifele
Bozak
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
6
14
Scheifele
Bozak
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
8
Scheifele
Bozak
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (12,036)
53.7% (9,596)
-7.4%
Power Play
50.2% (2,563)
55.2% (1,990)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (598)
48.0% (1,094)
-6.4%
On even strength, Bozak has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,377).
Scheifele shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Bozak
Home
48.9% (7,644)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
44.7% (7,554)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Scheifele
Bozak
P1
48.2%
53.2%
P2
45.6%
52.8%
P3
46.8%
54.5%
OT
42.5%
52.9%
Final 5 min
45.6%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 05:40 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 05:32 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 15:09 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 14:50 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 10:27 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 3 | 13:10 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 1 | 05:52 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 3 | 09:34 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 2 | 17:50 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 1 | 11:59 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 3 | 11:18 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 11:28 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 14:59 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 11:25 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 03:31 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 1 | 17:38 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |