Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Scheifele wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 44.6% vs Bozak 55.8% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 80.7%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 74.4%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 81.3%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 77.1%
77.1%
22.9%
Scheifele
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Scheifele
Bozak
Last 7: Scheifele 1-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Scheifele
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
4
Scheifele
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (943)
56.4% (837)
-11.9%
Power Play
42.2% (180)
60.8% (186)
-18.6%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (43)
33.3% (36)
+10.9%
On power play, Bozak has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Scheifele is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Scheifele shoots right. Bozak is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Bozak
Home
47.4% (549)
58.7% (516)
Away
41.3% (617)
54.1% (543)
By Period
Scheifele
Bozak
P1
43.7%
55.7%
P2
44.5%
53.4%
P3
43.8%
59.7%
OT
56.3%
63.2%
Final 5 min
42.5%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
44.2%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2015 | 2 | 10:51 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 2, 2015 | 1 | 08:32 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 2, 2015 | 1 | 00:49 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 2 | 17:14 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 2 | 10:58 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 1 | 03:29 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |