Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Scheifele wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 43.9% vs Rask 49.8% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 79.4%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 80.2%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 79.4%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 79.6%
79.6%
20.4%
Scheifele
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Scheifele
Rask
Last 9: Scheifele 2-7 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
1
2
Scheifele
Rask
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Rask
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
0
4
Scheifele
Rask
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (1,136)
48.7% (809)
-4.8%
Power Play
43.0% (237)
60.0% (90)
-17.0%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (88)
47.4% (19)
-8.8%
On power play, Rask has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Scheifele is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,035).
Scheifele shoots right. Rask is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Rask
Home
45.3% (739)
51.4% (420)
Away
41.6% (722)
48.4% (498)
By Period
Scheifele
Rask
P1
45.6%
49.1%
P2
42.6%
50.2%
P3
42.8%
50.3%
OT
26.7%
41.7%
Final 5 min
39.3%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
43.5%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2016 | 2 | 12:56 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 13, 2016 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 13:39 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 05:11 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 05:02 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 2 | 15:58 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 2 | 15:45 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 10:54 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 00:38 | Defensive | Victor Rask |