Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +17.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Spezza wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.7% vs Granlund 38.9% (+17.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 94.6%
Defensive zone
Spezza 77.7%
Neutral zone
Spezza 88.1%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 85.5%
85.5%
14.5%
Spezza
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Spezza
Granlund
Last 7: Spezza 6-1 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Granlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
1
Spezza
Granlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Granlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (998)
36.5% (477)
+16.5%
Power Play
58.5% (248)
50.0% (20)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
33.3% (27)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Spezza is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Spezza shoots right. Granlund is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Spezza
Granlund
Home
56.4% (626)
41.0% (256)
Away
51.7% (636)
32.8% (268)
By Period
Spezza
Granlund
P1
56.9%
41.3%
P2
51.9%
35.9%
P3
53.9%
33.5%
OT
46.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Granlund
44.0%▼
46.0%
36.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2015 | 3 | 13:46 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 3 | 05:54 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 3 | 17:03 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 1 | 01:20 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 19, 2014 | 3 | 16:53 | Defensive | Markus Granlund |
| Dec 19, 2014 | 3 | 16:48 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 19, 2014 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |