Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.2% vs Granlund 44.4% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 76.1%
Defensive zone
Carter 84.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 89.9%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 87.1%
87.1%
12.9%
Carter
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Carter
Granlund
Last 10: Carter 7-3 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Granlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
6
2
Carter
Granlund
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (935)
44.1% (263)
+5.8%
Power Play
61.8% (157)
51.0% (49)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (92)
22.2% (36)
+24.5%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Carter is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Carter shoots right. Granlund is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Carter
Granlund
Home
52.4% (638)
47.2% (144)
Away
50.0% (546)
39.7% (204)
By Period
Carter
Granlund
P1
49.6%
44.2%
P2
50.9%
40.4%
P3
53.0%
44.3%
OT
58.3%
20.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.3%
Granlund
44.0%▼
46.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 18:39 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 13:49 | Offensive | Markus Granlund |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 02:13 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 01:58 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Markus Granlund |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 08:25 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 2 | 12:18 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 2 | 00:29 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Markus Granlund |