Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Granlund wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 44.4% vs Koivu 54.1% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 59.3%
Defensive zone
Koivu 52.0%
Neutral zone
Koivu 52.3%
Result
Markus Granlund favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Granlund
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Granlund
Koivu
Last 5: Granlund 2-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
0
Granlund
Koivu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
3
Granlund
Koivu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (263)
55.1% (672)
-11.0%
Power Play
51.0% (49)
56.5% (115)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (36)
49.5% (107)
-27.3%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +27.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Granlund is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Granlund shoots left. Koivu is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Granlund
Koivu
Home
47.2% (144)
56.6% (410)
Away
39.7% (204)
52.9% (484)
By Period
Granlund
Koivu
P1
44.2%
51.7%
P2
40.4%
56.7%
P3
44.3%
55.3%
OT
20.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
38.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
44.0%▼
46.0%
42.8%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 12:28 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 3 | 07:58 | Offensive | Markus Granlund |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 16:15 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 09:35 | Defensive | Markus Granlund |
| Oct 29, 2018 | 3 | 01:29 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |