Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Patrick on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Granlund wins 32.4% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 44.1% vs Patrick 50.5% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Patrick 57.8%
Defensive zone
Patrick 64.2%
Neutral zone
Patrick 67.9%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Granlund
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Granlund
Patrick
Last 5: Granlund 3-2 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
0
Granlund
Patrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
1
2
Granlund
Patrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
0
Granlund
Patrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
42.2% (161)
50.6% (719)
-8.4%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
50.0% (22)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
50.0% (2)
-16.7%
On power play, Patrick has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Granlund is 32.4% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Granlund shoots left. Patrick is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Granlund
Patrick
Home
39.2% (97)
50.1% (391)
Away
42.7% (82)
51.1% (352)
By Period
Granlund
Patrick
P1
40.6%
54.4%
P2
35.8%
49.3%
P3
48.8%
47.5%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.1%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
44.0%▼
46.0%
40.8%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 14:22 | Defensive | Markus Granlund |
| Nov 21, 2017 | 2 | 18:26 | Neutral | Markus Granlund |
| Nov 21, 2017 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | Markus Granlund |
| Nov 21, 2017 | 2 | 07:55 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Nov 21, 2017 | 1 | 14:24 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |