Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +16.6% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Granlund wins 35.2% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 38.9% vs O'Reilly 53.2% (-16.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 83.8%
Defensive zone
Granlund 89.2%
Neutral zone
Granlund 90.0%
Result
Markus Granlund favored at 90.0%
90.0%
10.0%
Granlund
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Granlund
O'Reilly
Last 8: Granlund 1-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
7
Granlund
O'Reilly
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
36.5% (477)
52.7% (900)
-16.2%
Power Play
50.0% (20)
55.6% (225)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (27)
54.5% (209)
-21.2%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Granlund is 35.2% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Granlund shoots left. O'Reilly is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (807).
Home / Away
Granlund
O'Reilly
Home
41.0% (256)
55.1% (693)
Away
32.8% (268)
51.6% (641)
By Period
Granlund
O'Reilly
P1
41.3%
51.5%
P2
35.9%
54.7%
P3
33.5%
52.7%
OT
0.0%
69.7%
Final 5 min
38.2%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
44.0%▼
46.0%
36.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2015 | 3 | 15:49 | Neutral | Markus Granlund |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 3 | 15:22 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 3 | 10:18 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 3 | 08:40 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 2 | 00:11 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 02:20 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |