Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Granlund wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 44.4% vs O'Reilly 56.5% (-14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 68.3%
Defensive zone
Granlund 59.1%
Neutral zone
Granlund 63.3%
Result
Markus Granlund favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Granlund
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Granlund
O'Reilly
Last 6: Granlund 2-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Granlund
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Granlund
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
0
Granlund
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (263)
57.1% (1,367)
-13.0%
Power Play
51.0% (49)
59.4% (286)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (36)
52.5% (257)
-30.3%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +30.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Granlund is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Granlund shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,201).
Home / Away
Granlund
O'Reilly
Home
47.2% (144)
59.2% (936)
Away
39.7% (204)
54.6% (974)
By Period
Granlund
O'Reilly
P1
44.2%
57.3%
P2
40.4%
57.5%
P3
44.3%
55.0%
OT
20.0%
71.1%
Final 5 min
38.5%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
44.0%▼
46.0%
42.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2019 | OT | 04:25 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 6, 2019 | OT | 04:00 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 6, 2019 | OT | 03:31 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 16:34 | Offensive | Markus Granlund |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 19:19 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 3 | 02:40 | Neutral | Markus Granlund |