Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Granlund wins 39.3% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 41.4% vs Gagner 46.0% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 70.9%
Defensive zone
Granlund 72.8%
Neutral zone
Granlund 71.1%
Result
Markus Granlund favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
Granlund
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Granlund
Gagner
Last 9: Granlund 2-7 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
2
Granlund
Gagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
2
Granlund
Gagner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
3
Granlund
Gagner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (1,525)
45.4% (4,699)
-4.1%
Power Play
45.1% (91)
51.5% (928)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
32.8% (119)
35.0% (226)
-2.2%
On power play, Gagner has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Granlund is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (639).
Granlund shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Granlund
Gagner
Home
43.1% (886)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
38.6% (849)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Granlund
Gagner
P1
42.9%
44.6%
P2
39.1%
46.1%
P3
41.1%
47.3%
OT
26.7%
42.0%
Final 5 min
40.5%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
44.0%▼
46.0%
40.9%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 14:58 | Defensive | Markus Granlund |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 2 | 07:13 | Neutral | Markus Granlund |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 12:22 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 06:37 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 04:07 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 10:43 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 01:55 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 2 | 08:51 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |