Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Granlund wins 39.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 38.9% vs Gagner 47.2% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 69.6%
Defensive zone
Granlund 87.5%
Neutral zone
Granlund 73.7%
Result
Markus Granlund favored at 77.4%
77.4%
22.6%
Granlund
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Granlund
Gagner
Last 9: Granlund 2-7 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
2
Granlund
Gagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
2
Granlund
Gagner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
3
Granlund
Gagner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
36.5% (477)
45.6% (651)
-9.1%
Power Play
50.0% (20)
53.8% (119)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (27)
0.0% (1)
+33.3%
On penalty kill, Granlund has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Granlund is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (194).
Granlund shoots left. Gagner is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Home / Away
Granlund
Gagner
Home
41.0% (256)
47.1% (367)
Away
32.8% (268)
46.5% (404)
By Period
Granlund
Gagner
P1
41.3%
49.6%
P2
35.9%
47.9%
P3
33.5%
43.4%
OT
0.0%
43.8%
Final 5 min
38.2%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
44.0%▼
46.0%
36.8%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 14:58 | Defensive | Markus Granlund |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 2 | 07:13 | Neutral | Markus Granlund |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 12:22 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 06:37 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 04:07 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 10:43 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 01:55 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 2 | 08:51 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |