Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Granlund wins 41.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 41.4% vs Hertl 54.2% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 87.9%
Defensive zone
Granlund 84.6%
Neutral zone
Granlund 89.7%
Result
Markus Granlund favored at 87.4%
87.4%
12.6%
Granlund
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Granlund
Hertl
Last 10: Granlund 3-7 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Granlund
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
4
Granlund
Hertl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
4
Granlund
Hertl
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (1,525)
53.8% (8,268)
-12.5%
Power Play
45.1% (91)
59.3% (1,975)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
32.8% (119)
46.3% (806)
-13.5%
On power play, Hertl has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Granlund is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,096).
Granlund shoots left. Hertl is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,916).
Home / Away
Granlund
Hertl
Home
43.1% (886)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
38.6% (849)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Granlund
Hertl
P1
42.9%
53.6%
P2
39.1%
54.1%
P3
41.1%
55.3%
OT
26.7%
46.5%
Final 5 min
40.5%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
44.0%▼
46.0%
40.9%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 19:20 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 2 | 12:25 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 2 | 01:23 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 15, 2017 | OT | 03:12 | Defensive | Markus Granlund |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 05:09 | Neutral | Markus Granlund |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 3 | 19:19 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 08:22 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 08:16 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 15:58 | Neutral | Markus Granlund |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 3 | 09:42 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 3 | 05:29 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 18:28 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |