Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Granlund wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 44.1% vs Hertl 54.9% (-13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 67.2%
Defensive zone
Granlund 65.8%
Neutral zone
Granlund 65.2%
Result
Markus Granlund favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Granlund
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Granlund
Hertl
Last 6: Granlund 2-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Granlund
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Granlund
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (441)
55.0% (382)
-12.4%
Power Play
33.3% (12)
59.7% (67)
-26.4%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (19)
75.0% (8)
-22.4%
On power play, Hertl has a +26.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Granlund is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Granlund shoots left. Hertl is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Granlund
Hertl
Home
44.0% (284)
58.8% (221)
Away
41.0% (188)
53.4% (236)
By Period
Granlund
Hertl
P1
45.8%
52.6%
P2
39.7%
53.6%
P3
43.2%
62.4%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.2%
61.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
44.0%▼
46.0%
42.8%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 05:09 | Neutral | Markus Granlund |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 3 | 19:19 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 08:22 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 08:16 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 15:58 | Neutral | Markus Granlund |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 3 | 09:42 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |