Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Granlund wins 24.2% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 44.8% vs Seguin 50.9% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 78.3%
Defensive zone
Granlund 66.1%
Neutral zone
Granlund 70.2%
Result
Markus Granlund favored at 71.0%
71.0%
29.0%
Granlund
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Granlund
Seguin
Last 5: Granlund 0-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Granlund
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Granlund
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
3
Granlund
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (82)
51.1% (720)
-8.4%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
54.2% (59)
-54.2%
Penalty Kill
27.8% (18)
14.3% (7)
+13.5%
On power play, Seguin has a +54.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Granlund is 24.2% vs right-shot opponents (33).
Granlund shoots left. Seguin is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Granlund
Seguin
Home
46.3% (54)
52.0% (421)
Away
31.9% (47)
49.9% (365)
By Period
Granlund
Seguin
P1
39.4%
50.8%
P2
44.4%
51.3%
P3
33.3%
51.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.5%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
44.0%▼
46.0%
39.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2016 | 3 | 11:27 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 3 | 08:48 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 3 | 03:26 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 3 | 03:17 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 3 | 01:00 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |