Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Granlund wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 44.4% vs Seguin 53.6% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 57.9%
Defensive zone
Seguin 65.3%
Neutral zone
Seguin 55.2%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Granlund
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Granlund
Seguin
Last 8: Granlund 4-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Granlund
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Granlund
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
3
2
Granlund
Seguin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (263)
53.9% (996)
-9.8%
Power Play
51.0% (49)
56.4% (94)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (36)
52.1% (165)
-29.9%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Granlund is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Granlund shoots left. Seguin is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (873).
Home / Away
Granlund
Seguin
Home
47.2% (144)
55.9% (633)
Away
39.7% (204)
51.8% (622)
By Period
Granlund
Seguin
P1
44.2%
55.8%
P2
40.4%
51.7%
P3
44.3%
54.5%
OT
20.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
38.5%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
44.0%▼
46.0%
42.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2019 | 3 | 12:13 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 00:27 | Neutral | Markus Granlund |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 00:16 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 2 | 11:58 | Neutral | Markus Granlund |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Markus Granlund |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 17:46 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 03:38 | Offensive | Markus Granlund |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 01:58 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |