Scouting Report
Martin Erat holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 44.7% vs Erat 46.8% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 78.6%
Defensive zone
Erat 77.0%
Neutral zone
Erat 51.5%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 78.6%
78.6%
21.4%
Skinner
Erat
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Skinner
Erat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
1
0
Skinner
Erat
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Erat
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (1,317)
46.7% (321)
-4.4%
Power Play
52.0% (404)
45.5% (101)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
41.4% (29)
-8.1%
On penalty kill, Erat has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Erat shoots left. Skinner is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,097).
Skinner shoots left. Erat is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Skinner
Erat
Home
48.2% (949)
53.2% (252)
Away
39.9% (791)
37.2% (199)
By Period
Skinner
Erat
P1
41.6%
43.4%
P2
46.0%
45.8%
P3
46.4%
50.0%
OT
23.5%
16.7%
Final 5 min
46.0%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
44.4%
Erat
38.0%▼
43.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 10:24 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |