Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Erat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Erat wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Erat 46.8% vs Getzlaf 49.8% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 53.9%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 86.2%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 75.7%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 70.1%
29.9%
70.1%
Erat
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Erat
Getzlaf
Last 8: Erat 5-3 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Erat
3
0
Erat
Getzlaf
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
2
Erat
Getzlaf
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Erat
2
1
Erat
Getzlaf
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Erat
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (321)
49.6% (10,258)
-2.9%
Power Play
45.5% (101)
54.9% (1,381)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (29)
44.8% (1,055)
-3.4%
On power play, Getzlaf has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Erat is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Erat shoots left. Getzlaf is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (9,181).
Home / Away
Erat
Getzlaf
Home
53.2% (252)
51.8% (6,270)
Away
37.2% (199)
47.8% (6,495)
By Period
Erat
Getzlaf
P1
43.4%
49.2%
P2
45.8%
50.4%
P3
50.0%
49.7%
OT
16.7%
49.1%
Final 5 min
49.1%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Erat
38.0%▼
43.5%
46.1%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2013 | 3 | 03:28 | Neutral | Martin Erat |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 12:02 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 11:56 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Erat |
| Feb 27, 2013 | 3 | 08:40 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Feb 27, 2013 | 1 | 06:21 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 03:16 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |