Scouting Report
Samuel Pahlsson holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Erat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Erat 48.7% vs Pahlsson 52.4% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Erat 85.8%
Defensive zone
Pahlsson 92.2%
Neutral zone
Pahlsson 69.2%
Result
Martin Erat favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Erat
Pahlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Erat
Pahlsson
Last 5: Erat 3-2 Pahlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Erat
3
0
Erat
Pahlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
0
1
Erat
Pahlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
0
1
Erat
Pahlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Erat
Pahlsson
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (80)
54.3% (782)
-8.0%
Power Play
51.2% (41)
62.5% (16)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
45.8% (216)
-5.8%
On power play, Pahlsson has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pahlsson shoots left. Erat is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (74).
Erat shoots left. Pahlsson is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (686).
Home / Away
Erat
Pahlsson
Home
60.9% (64)
51.8% (508)
Away
33.9% (62)
53.5% (518)
By Period
Erat
Pahlsson
P1
41.9%
52.8%
P2
47.2%
52.1%
P3
54.3%
53.0%
OT
0.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
54.2%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Erat
38.0%▼
43.5%
47.6%
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2012 | 1 | 10:42 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 12:31 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 1 | 19:27 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 10:04 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |