Scouting Report
Martin Erat holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Erat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Erat 50.6% vs Horcoff 49.2% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Erat 69.3%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 77.7%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 53.6%
Result
Martin Erat favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Erat
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Erat
Horcoff
Last 5: Erat 3-2 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Erat
3
0
Erat
Horcoff
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
1
Erat
Horcoff
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
1
Erat
Horcoff
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Erat
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
61.9% (42)
46.9% (318)
+15.0%
Power Play
29.4% (17)
64.9% (94)
-35.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
39.8% (88)
-6.5%
On power play, Horcoff has a +35.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Erat is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (40).
Erat shoots left. Horcoff is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Erat
Horcoff
Home
50.0% (36)
46.7% (289)
Away
53.8% (26)
52.1% (211)
By Period
Erat
Horcoff
P1
50.0%
49.4%
P2
48.0%
47.0%
P3
61.1%
50.9%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
41.2%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Erat
38.0%▼
43.5%
51.6%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 18:51 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 16:59 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 11:20 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 17, 2013 | 1 | 15:18 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |