Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Cogliano wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hanzal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 43.6% vs Hanzal 51.9% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hanzal 89.1%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 72.8%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 81.7%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 81.2%
18.8%
81.2%
Cogliano
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Cogliano
Hanzal
Last 6: Cogliano 4-2 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cogliano
Hanzal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cogliano
2
0
Cogliano
Hanzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cogliano
Hanzal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (308)
52.2% (782)
-8.0%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
55.4% (202)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (53)
45.6% (103)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Hanzal has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Cogliano is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Cogliano shoots left. Hanzal is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Hanzal
Home
50.0% (188)
55.2% (580)
Away
34.3% (198)
48.5% (517)
By Period
Cogliano
Hanzal
P1
44.0%
55.3%
P2
41.3%
51.2%
P3
40.5%
49.0%
OT
44.4%
60.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
42.0%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 09:28 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Dec 14, 2011 | 2 | 17:40 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Dec 14, 2011 | 2 | 17:35 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 14, 2011 | 2 | 01:07 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Dec 14, 2011 | 1 | 19:19 | Offensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Dec 14, 2011 | 1 | 15:48 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |