Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Ebbett on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Ebbett wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hanzal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ebbett 42.5% vs Hanzal 47.2% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hanzal 92.3%
Defensive zone
Ebbett 52.0%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 80.6%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Ebbett
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Ebbett
Hanzal
Last 8: Ebbett 5-3 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
2
Ebbett
Hanzal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ebbett
4
1
Ebbett
Hanzal
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ebbett
1
0
Ebbett
Hanzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ebbett
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
38.3% (227)
47.4% (502)
-9.1%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
42.9% (119)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (28)
56.3% (16)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Hanzal has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Ebbett is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Ebbett shoots left. Hanzal is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Ebbett
Hanzal
Home
37.2% (121)
44.8% (330)
Away
41.8% (146)
48.9% (307)
By Period
Ebbett
Hanzal
P1
45.5%
47.8%
P2
40.2%
47.1%
P3
35.1%
46.0%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
33.8%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ebbett
42.0%▼
43.5%
39.7%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 16:38 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 12:07 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 06:12 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 06:01 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 1 | 07:08 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 1 | 04:54 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 1 | 01:49 | Neutral | Andrew Ebbett |