Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Paquette on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Paquette wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hanzal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 46.8% vs Hanzal 56.0% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hanzal 83.0%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 58.0%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 70.8%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 70.6%
29.4%
70.6%
Paquette
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Paquette
Hanzal
Last 7: Paquette 4-3 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Paquette
Hanzal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Paquette
Hanzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
1
Paquette
Hanzal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (347)
57.1% (1,059)
-8.1%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
60.0% (175)
-31.4%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (80)
45.2% (126)
-10.2%
On power play, Hanzal has a +31.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Paquette is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Paquette shoots left. Hanzal is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (897).
Home / Away
Paquette
Hanzal
Home
42.3% (182)
57.6% (682)
Away
48.8% (252)
55.2% (678)
By Period
Paquette
Hanzal
P1
51.3%
57.8%
P2
46.1%
57.8%
P3
40.3%
53.7%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
41.9%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
46.1%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2017 | 3 | 06:27 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 13:02 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 06:53 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 07:18 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 16:25 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 12:56 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |