Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kelly wins 41.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hanzal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 45.4% vs Hanzal 56.0% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 70.3%
Defensive zone
Kelly 70.5%
Neutral zone
Kelly 70.9%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Kelly
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Kelly
Hanzal
Last 9: Kelly 3-6 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
1
Kelly
Hanzal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
3
Kelly
Hanzal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
1
2
Kelly
Hanzal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (373)
57.1% (1,059)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (128)
45.2% (126)
-9.3%
On even strength, Hanzal has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Kelly is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Kelly shoots left. Hanzal is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (897).
Home / Away
Kelly
Hanzal
Home
47.5% (259)
57.6% (682)
Away
41.3% (242)
55.2% (678)
By Period
Kelly
Hanzal
P1
46.7%
57.8%
P2
42.9%
57.8%
P3
43.4%
53.7%
Final 5 min
42.2%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
44.5%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2017 | 3 | 02:50 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 18:43 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 10:07 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 08:43 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 08:38 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 2 | 17:01 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 2 | 07:11 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 06:18 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |