Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Fraser wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hanzal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 45.4% vs Hanzal 50.3% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fraser 75.7%
Defensive zone
Fraser 87.6%
Neutral zone
Fraser 83.7%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 81.0%
81.0%
19.0%
Fraser
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Fraser
Hanzal
Last 6: Fraser 0-6 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
3
Fraser
Hanzal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
2
Fraser
Hanzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
1
Fraser
Hanzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (382)
50.3% (728)
-2.7%
Power Play
62.5% (16)
51.6% (182)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (152)
50.9% (108)
-16.0%
On penalty kill, Hanzal has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Fraser is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (374).
Fraser shoots left. Hanzal is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (730).
Home / Away
Fraser
Hanzal
Home
47.1% (293)
48.9% (481)
Away
41.7% (259)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Fraser
Hanzal
P1
46.3%
47.6%
P2
43.1%
51.3%
P3
44.7%
51.2%
OT
33.3%
63.6%
Final 5 min
43.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.6%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2011 | 1 | 15:32 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 23, 2010 | 1 | 10:15 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 11:55 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 11:47 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 1 | 08:33 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 1 | 06:42 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |