Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). MacKenzie wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hanzal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.7% vs Hanzal 51.9% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hanzal 71.5%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 55.9%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 53.6%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
MacKenzie
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
MacKenzie
Hanzal
Last 9: MacKenzie 4-5 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
1
MacKenzie
Hanzal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
3
2
MacKenzie
Hanzal
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
1
2
MacKenzie
Hanzal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (370)
52.2% (782)
+2.9%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
55.4% (202)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (49)
45.6% (103)
+3.4%
On penalty kill, MacKenzie has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. MacKenzie is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (293).
MacKenzie shoots left. Hanzal is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Hanzal
Home
56.1% (228)
55.2% (580)
Away
52.7% (201)
48.5% (517)
By Period
MacKenzie
Hanzal
P1
53.4%
55.3%
P2
55.1%
51.2%
P3
53.9%
49.0%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
54.5%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2012 | 3 | 10:49 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 13:56 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 05:42 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 03:54 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 3 | 15:39 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 2 | 17:10 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 2 | 11:10 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 2 | 10:58 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 1 | 07:32 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |