Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Penner wins 41.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hanzal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Penner 44.6% vs Hanzal 50.3% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Penner 68.3%
Defensive zone
Penner 62.1%
Neutral zone
Penner 64.9%
Result
Dustin Penner favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Penner
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Penner
Hanzal
Last 6: Penner 2-4 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
1
Penner
Hanzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
2
3
Penner
Hanzal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Penner
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (151)
50.3% (728)
-9.2%
Power Play
50.0% (92)
51.6% (182)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (59)
50.9% (108)
-15.3%
On penalty kill, Hanzal has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Penner is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (197).
Penner shoots left. Hanzal is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (730).
Home / Away
Penner
Hanzal
Home
47.5% (158)
48.9% (481)
Away
37.8% (148)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Penner
Hanzal
P1
38.1%
47.6%
P2
36.2%
51.3%
P3
54.7%
51.2%
OT
27.3%
63.6%
Final 5 min
50.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Penner
34.0%▼
42.0%
42.8%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2010 | 3 | 13:45 | Neutral | Dustin Penner |
| Nov 23, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 23, 2010 | 2 | 10:08 | Neutral | Dustin Penner |
| Nov 23, 2010 | 2 | 06:04 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 23, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 2 | 03:25 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |