Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nielsen wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hanzal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 50.1% vs Hanzal 55.4% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 74.5%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 92.4%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 80.2%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Nielsen
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Nielsen
Hanzal
Last 5: Nielsen 0-5 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
3
Nielsen
Hanzal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
2
Nielsen
Hanzal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (899)
54.9% (754)
-4.2%
Power Play
54.8% (73)
61.4% (228)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (197)
49.2% (65)
-3.5%
On power play, Hanzal has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Nielsen is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Nielsen shoots left. Hanzal is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Hanzal
Home
51.1% (595)
58.1% (539)
Away
49.1% (574)
53.7% (508)
By Period
Nielsen
Hanzal
P1
53.2%
56.5%
P2
48.1%
57.9%
P3
49.3%
53.6%
OT
42.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.2%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.1%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 11:49 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 3 | 18:35 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 3 | 11:30 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 1 | 07:58 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |